Hot and humid conditions will stick around through the weekend and into next week, with afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and heat indices reaching the low 100s. Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast as a surface trough and shortwave energy move through the region. The risk of strong to severe storms, capable of producing damaging winds, is expected to increase, with the highest chances Friday and Saturday.

Today


A warm front will lift north through the region tonight, bringing increasing chances of showers and thunderstorms along with a potential for localized urban flooding. Dry conditions are expected for most of the area today before the front advances. Tropical moisture will return, supporting high rain rates in any storms that develop.


A frontal boundary will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the region this afternoon, with locally heavy rain that could produce flash flooding in urban or poor-drainage areas. Conditions stay warm and muggy, with highs in the mid to upper 80s. The front crosses the area this evening, bringing drier air overnight before a more active pattern returns later in the week.

Today


High pressure will keep skies mostly sunny and conditions dry across Northern Virginia through Friday, with seasonable temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. An isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out each afternoon, but overall rain chances stay low. Rain chances then increase this weekend as an upper-level system moves through the region.

Today


A strong cold front will push across the region this afternoon and evening, bringing a slight risk of severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds are the main threat, with large hail and a brief tornado also possible. Heavy downpours are likely in stronger storms, and a Flood Watch is in effect for parts of northeast Maryland through early Wednesday.

An upper-level trough may increase clouds and shower chances by Saturday evening into Sunday.


Showers and thunderstorms are possible early this week as a strong frontal boundary moves through the region. Severe thunderstorms are possible Tuesday, with damaging winds and heavy rain the primary concerns. Conditions turn drier and sunnier later in the week.

By Thursday, high pressure builds overhead, reducing precipitation chances and bringing calmer conditions. Temperatures will gradually climb into the upper 80s, though drier air aloft should keep heat indices close to actual air temperatures. Precipitation chances increase again over the weekend as an upper-level trough approaches.


Showers and thunderstorms are likely today, mainly after 4 p.m., with some storms possibly becoming severe. Skies will be mostly cloudy with a high near 92 and heat index values as high as 103.

Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts up to 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch are expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.


Smoke from Canadian wildfires has reduced visibility to as low as 1-2 miles in spots. Air quality is expected to remain poor through today and possibly into tonight. Sensitive groups (people with heart/lung conditions, older adults, and children) should avoid all outdoor physical activity. Healthy individuals should avoid prolonged or strenuous outdoor exertion.

The NWS notes a strong cold front will increase severe weather risks Saturday, with possible lingering threats south of I-64 on Sunday. High pressure brings drier, more seasonable conditions Monday before another front midweek.


Areas of smoke from distant Canadian wildfires will linger over Northern Virginia today, creating hazy skies and continued hot conditions.

According to the National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington D.C. office, today will be mostly sunny with a high near 96. Heat index values could reach as high as 104 in spots. Winds will be light and variable. Areas of smoke are expected before noon.


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